Interest, good point. I am seeing the award miles price in the same range (20-25%). Ill be slightly impressed if theyre using the future flights calculation to figure whether someone is close to a status threshold — and then adjusting the accelerator offer accordingly — but theoretically that is possible.
Apart from flights being full, which I dont disagree with, its difficult to do, and also would drive passengers away. Why fly AA XXX-DFW-ACT-GRK when someone else flies XXX-HUB-GRK without the extra stop. Passengers buy by price and time nowadays, thats why we get everyone asking about 25 minute connections from A to E in CLT.
For example, it’s not uncommon to see XXX-DTW-LGA-YYY as the only “legal” routing because XXX-DTW arrives >4 hours before the next DTW-YYY flight. So even though DTW may have multiple daily frequencies to both XXX and YYY, if they don’t arrive/depart within 4 hours, ticketing rules make you book another connection just cause.
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